Trump Gets News So Good, Democrats Are Freaking Out
In a notable shift, former President Donald Trump has overtaken President Joe Biden in a key swing state he won in 2016 but narrowly lost in 2020, according to a new survey.
The Marist College Poll reveals that Trump is leading Biden 47–45 percent in Pennsylvania, though this is within the survey’s margin of error, Fox News reported.
Democratic-turned-independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garnered 3% in the survey, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornel West each receiving 1%, and 2% remaining undecided.
Among likely voters, the Republican nominee holds a 48% to 46% lead over the Democratic incumbent in a multi-candidate race, Fox News reported.
In 2016, Trump made history by becoming the first Republican in nearly thirty years to win Pennsylvania, a state typically seen as part of the Democratic stronghold in the northeast and midwest regions.
Trump’s narrow victory over Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania was significant, though Biden narrowly won the state four years later.
The Marist poll, conducted from June 3-6, indicates challenges for Biden within the Democratic Party’s base.
“While still strong, Biden has lost his formidable support among black voters. 68% break for Biden to 23% for Trump. Biden handily won the support of most black voters in the 2020 presidential election, 92% to 7% for Trump,” an analysis of the data stated.
The poll also shows a surge in support for Trump among voters under 45 in Pennsylvania. In the last election, Biden led this group by 24 points, but the latest survey shows Biden’s lead has shrunk to just two points.
However, “Trump’s advantage among older voters has evaporated. He carried voters 45 or older by 12 percentage points in 2020. Now, three percentage points separate Trump (48%) and Biden (45%) among this group.”
Fox News notes, “While Trump holds the edge over Biden in the latest polling in most of the key swing states, and while his fundraising has surged in the wake of his conviction two weeks ago in the first criminal trial of a current or former president, Trump and the Republican National Committee (RNC) are currently facing a large deficit to the Biden campaign and the Democratic National Committee (DNC) when it comes to grassroots outreach and get-out-the-vote efforts. The Trump campaign along with the RNC and the Pennsylvania GOP last week opened their first campaign office in Pennsylvania. In comparison, the Biden re-election campaign, the DNC and Pennsylvania Democrats spotlight that they have 24 coordinated offices and hundreds of staffers across the Commonwealth.”
In May, a survey showed that Trump is maintaining his lead in most critical swing states as his campaign progresses towards his likely GOP nomination during the Republican Party’s July convention in Milwaukee.
A Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll of registered voters, conducted from May 7th to 13th, found that Trump holds a four-point lead over Biden across all swing states.
Trump leads by five points in Arizona, seven points in North Carolina, three points in Georgia, two points in Pennsylvania, and one point in Wisconsin.
Trump and Biden are tied in Nevada, while Biden holds a narrow one-point lead over Trump in Michigan. The poll of 4,962 registered swing state voters has a margin of error of one point.
Although Trump leads in most swing states, the race has tightened since last month, when he had stronger advantages, particularly in Wisconsin and Georgia, the Daily Wire noted.
The survey also showed a pessimistic outlook on the economy, with 55 percent of respondents stating that the economy in their state is headed in the wrong direction, compared to 45 percent who believe it is moving in the right direction.