BREAKING: Massive Shift In Trump/Harris Race

The latest electoral model from polling expert Nate Silver indicates a dramatic shift in the 2024 presidential race, with former President Donald Trump making significant gains.

Silver’s newest model shows Harris with a slim lead of 50.1%, a drop of 4.8% from earlier in the week. Meanwhile, Trump has surged to 49.7%, an increase of 4.8% over the same period. Key battleground states, especially in the Midwest and Sun Belt regions, have seen notable movement in Trump's favor. The model highlights this major shift.

Except for Nevada, where the race remains highly competitive, Trump’s odds now exceed sixty percent in states like Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina—the lone exception being Nevada. Additionally, Silver's estimates show Wisconsin as nearly tied, with Harris holding a narrow 52-48 edge. In Pennsylvania, another critical battleground, Harris currently leads 54-46, though the gap is closing quickly.

This forecast contrasts sharply with the picture just a week ago. After the debate, Harris had a slight advantage in key states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. However, as more data has emerged, the momentum has swung toward Trump, turning the national race into a virtual deadlock.

Harris's consistent support across the Midwest is a key factor behind this shift. While she saw a strong post-debate boost in polls, those numbers have since leveled off. Silver notes, “We’re just not seeing as many Harris +3 type numbers in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania as we did immediately after the debate.”

Though Harris remains ahead in these states, even a small dip in her support could prove crucial as Election Day approaches.