CNN Analyst: Poll Analysis Suggests Kamala Harris Victory Would Be 'Historically Unprecedented'

A key statistic may indicate that Vice President Kamala Harris has slim chances of winning the presidential election, according to insights from a CNN data analyst.

Harry Enten pointed out that Harris's greatest challenge stems from her association with an administration that a significant portion of Americans believe isn’t benefiting the country.

“If we look at whether voters believe we’re on the right track or the wrong track, I think that this sort of gets at a problem for Kamala Harris’s campaign. Just 28% of Americans think the U.S is on the right track,” he stated in a video posted on RealClearPolitics.

Enten’s analysis revealed that the average approval rating for incumbents who end up losing an election tends to hover around 25 percent—closely resembling Harris’s current 28 percent.

He highlighted the contrast with more popular administrations.

“When the White House party wins — Kamala Harris’s party, the Democrats – 42 percent on average think that the country is on the right track,” Enten explained.

The current approval ratings, he noted, are approaching levels seen in losing campaigns.

“To me, this is a bad sign for Kamala Harris’s campaign. The bottom line is, it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner,” he said.

Enten also referenced the lowest approval rating for a winning president, which was 39 percent in 1996 when former President Bill Clinton secured re-election.

Enten concluded: “There is no historical precedent for the White House party winning another term when just 28% of the country thinks that we’re on the right track. Simply put, it would be historically unprecedented.”

“You‘re very much in the danger zone when we‘re looking at that right track, wrong direction number, that’s where Democrats are right now,” Enten said, as quoted by Fox News.

In another CNN analysis, Enten emphasized how President Joe Biden's unpopularity could impact Harris.

“The incumbent’s party has never won when the president had higher disapproval ratings than approval ratings,” he noted.

He continued, “Biden’s disapproval rating right now is about 10 points above his approval rating,” adding that this figure and the share of Americans who think the country is on the right track “are just two indicators of public opinion that are bad for Harris’ chances in November.”